Overview of economic trends related to the Coronavirus, savings and the state of your personal projects.
What do the experts say?
A two-stage effect seems to be consensus. Both SECO and banking analysts agree that the economic effects of the pandemic will be felt in the first quarter of this year. However, with the progress of the vaccination plan and thanks to the relaxations announced, a recovery should be on the agenda as early as this summer and even more so in 2022.
The effects also vary by sector. Aviation and its ancillary services, catering, leisure centers, etc. The economic impact was terrible for some. Others are doing well, such as food, for example. All of them are expected to return to significant growth, counting on the consumer's desire to reconnect with travel, leisure and moments of relaxation with the family.
A dazzling recovery? A price increase?
It's hard to say for the level of recovery. On the other hand, a price increase has already been confirmed.
Let's dissect.
Regarding the recovery, let's avoid terms such as dazzling. We are in Switzerland after all, so let's be rather cautious by nature.
Yes, SECO expects growth of more than 3% and with each wave of vaccinations, gross domestic product will grow. Yes, financial analysts are aiming for a recovery as early as the summer with an even more convincing effect next year.
And yet, we are not immune to surprises with the variants of the virus currently circulating around the world.
On the subject of rising prices, the result is clear. If you add an increase in global demand for products such as gasoline and food, given the easing of restrictions that have been made or announced in several countries, to the limitation of available stocks due to supply chain breaks (especially cargo ships), you get the following formula: rising demand + falling supply = high prices. Nothing to delight us. This is the shadow on the painting signed reprise.
This trend is confirmed by the Head of Investments at Raiffeisen Switzerland. Coffee on the terrace will therefore be possible again; You'll just have to pay a little more for your coffee.
A return to normal?
According to Léman Bleu, the first stage is expected to last until the end of May. This phase of protection will be in effect until vulnerable people are fully vaccinated.
Then, the stabilization phase. Depending on the progress of vaccinations for adults, the policies are aiming for the end of July as the deadline to be reached. As a reminder, getting vaccinated can drastically reduce the severity of the effects of Covid. Especially with vulnerable people.
Finally, the standardization phase. When 30% of vaccination appointments are not filled, the authorities will then consider this phase to have begun. The closure of places that are still closed and basic measures, such as the wearing of masks, will then be gradually lifted.
Oh yes, it is very likely that a Covid certificate will be issued. There is also talk of a Covid passport in the European zone. This should happen when 40 to 50% of the population has been vaccinated. Access to certain private activities may be authorized to persons with this certificate.
The passport will facilitate international travel.
For or against, it doesn't matter. This will certainly become a reality in the coming weeks and months. Do you remember the moments of doubt on the way to the airport? Suitcases... check-in, tickets... Check, passports... check, Covid passports... Check!
And what about your projects?
Despite the pandemic, life goes on. However, as always, prudence and a thorough analysis of your means must remain key elements when financing your personal projects.
This is all the more true as a positive economic effect during the first wave was the high level of savings achieved, which fell somewhat during the last lockdowns. It is therefore important to take stock of your resources.
An upturn through the gloom of Covid is the near confirmation that the country will have managed to avoid mass layoffs with the unemployment rate expected to peak at 3.7% in the coming months.
So let's use another formula: some savings + stable income = feasible projects. To complete this equation, you must add one element: a trusted partner who will advise you in a personalized way and who will allow you to benefit from the best rates on the market to finance your projects.
Milenia: the missing piece to your equation!
Indeed. As a recognized financing platform, our team has facilitated the implementation of projects with a cumulative value of CHF 200,000,000 since its launch four years ago.
The keys to success? Trust, personalized service, quality work and strong banking partnerships. True to the principle of prudence, each request is analysed in depth with the aim of carrying out your projects while taking into account your means.
The richness of our credit offer allows our advisors to find you the financing best suited to your reality. Whether it's the rate, the amount, and the term.
And that's not all! In the spirit of offering a wide range of solutions and services to our customers, we collaborate with key players such as Helvetia or Cornèr.
How? To protect yourself against life's uncertainties, don't hesitate to ask about our Helvetia Income Protect solution. In the event of job loss, this coverage will make up for a loss of earnings, saving you an additional headache in repaying your loan.
For those who are hungry for gifts, we are offering CHF 40 to Milenia customers who take out a Visa Bonus Card offered by Cornèrcard.
Two examples demonstrating our know-how and our willingness to consider the individuality of each of our clients.
Final Words
This pandemic will still have surprises in store for us, but society and societies have shown resilience and solidarity. Let's look to the future with a dose of confidence and make our dreams and plans come true. At our own pace, with our means but with a firm desire to get together for the good times, with friends and family.